Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Our World: Jihad's campus collaborators | Jerusalem Post

Our World: Jihad's campus collaborators | Jerusalem Post

OK, we know about the crap that happens on college campuses already, but read this article for more info on the growing phenomenon of Jihadist violence being perpetrated by Muslim men against American civilians in the name of Jihad. Disparate incidents probably loan wolf episodes, but still very troubling and not spoken about in the media, lest the PC police get upset.

Also, Ms. Glick reveals in this article that, "On February 15, the Iraqi Ambassador to the UN, Hamid Al Bayati, spoke at New York's Fordham University. During the course of his remarks, Bayati doubted the fact that the Holocaust had occurred. In his words, "I'm not aware of any dictator who used chemical weapons against his own people. Some academics or diplomats would say Hitler used chemical weapons, but I am sure he didn't use them against his own people - his German people." Yes, a Holocaust denier who is IRAQ'S, -- not Iran's -- ambassador to the UN. Why are our boys dying for his government, exactly?

Report: 3 Gulf states agree to IAF overflights en route to Iran - Haaretz - Israel News

Report: 3 Gulf states agree to IAF overflights en route to Iran - Haaretz - Israel News

Russian Deals in Middle East Snarl U.S. Strategy on Iran - WSJ.com

Russian ascendancy is reason number 46 why we must work to reduce the world's dependence on oil -- bring down oil, and you bring down Russia a notch or too, and probably help drive it towards a better system of government, because they'll have to in order to flourish.
Russian Deals in Middle East Snarl U.S. Strategy on Iran - WSJ.com

Washington Institute: Saudi-Iranian Mediation on Hizballah: Will a Lebanon Deal Come at Syria's Expense?

Saudi-Iranian Mediation on Hizballah: Will a Lebanon Deal Come at Syria's Expense?

Would Iran really throw Syria onto the tracks of the international tribunal for assassinating Rafiq Hariri in return for allowing Hezbullah power in Lebanon? Interesting article, highlighting the fact that Saudi foreign policy can -- and will -- subvert US foreign policy interests, as the recently agreed upon Mecca accords on the Palestinian "unity" government attest. One can only hope that this is merely a ploy to sow discord between Syria and Iran, perhaps facilitating Syria's turnaround and re-entry into the Saudi (and perhaps, might we hope, Western?) orbit. There is nothing Assad is more afraid of right now than being "indicted" for responsibility in the murder of Rafiq Hariri, and this may be our only leverage over Syria other than military attack. A cleaving off of Syria from Iran would be an enormous achievement for US foreign policy, and may be the tipping point in the increasing isolation of Iran, perhaps facilitating a possible non-military solution to the Iranian nuclear issue. Of course, supporters of Israel's security must note that any successful foreign relations move vis a vis Syria would undoubtedly cost Israel, and the Russians won't sit still either, now that they are (again) fully regaled in their Soviet-era immoral and thuggish foreign policy.

Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Film’s View of Islam Stirs Anger on Campuses - New York Times

Film’s View of Islam Stirs Anger on Campuses - New York Times

It's truly rewarding to see the bastion of liberal apologists, the New York Times, write this piece about the storm on campus regarding the film about Islamic radicalism, "Obsession: Radical Islam's War Against the West". A project of several allied groups, including HonestReporting.com (in which we are involved), this film frames the war of civilizations extremely well, by using the words of our enemies themselves. This film attempts to unmask the radicalism of many of its followers, while the obfuscators and apologists whine that the film presents an unfair portrait of Islam, that "peaceful religion" (PLEASE!!!, while many good, moderate -- and generally quiet -- Muslims exist, Islamic civilization through the ages, at best, has only shown sporadic short-lived periods of tolerance of others as second class citizens with dhimmi status, punctuating long bouts of anti-Western persecution, warfare and Jihad).

We await the coming to prominance and leadership in the Islamic world of those peaceful and coexisting types -- for now, we have the Iranians and Wahabis calling the agenda of the Islamic world, and hence, we need "Obsession" displayed for all to see.

Monday, February 26, 2007

Ready for war | Uk News | News | Telegraph

There may not yet be gas masks in the street in Tel Aviv but no one should underestimate Israel's determination to prevent a nuclear Iran

Down on the seafront in Tel Aviv, where crowds of young Israelis are to be found taking advantage of the unseasonably warm spring sunshine this weekend, it is hard to imagine that Israel is confronting what is arguably the gravest threat to its survival since it emerged from the ashes of the Holocaust 59 years ago.

A banner carried during demonstrations in Tehran - Holocaust
Statement of intent? A banner carried during demonstrations in Tehran

The apocalyptic rantings of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the menace posed by the ayatollahs' outlawed nuclear programme are a million miles from the minds of the couples lounging in the sun sipping cold beers, or engaged in vigorously competitive games of beach volleyball.



Ready for war | Uk News | News | Telegraph

DEBKAfile - US or Israeli Military Strike against Iran Hinges on Secret Saudi Diplomacy

Having just returned from the Negev desert in Israel, where we definitely saw a heightened level of Israeli air force training activity over what I (and others with us) had observed over the years, including aerial tanker use, Israel is definitely training for long range bombing missions.(DEBKAfile - US or Israeli Military Strike against Iran Hinges on Secret Saudi Diplomacy). Like actual intelligence, a good dose of Debka reporting is typically conjecture and fantasy, but this story feels more real. I also note the point Debka makes about possible spoiler provocation events that could lead the whole area to war -- it wouldn't take much for a rogue terrorist group or other party to launch an attack that could lead to over-reaction from either side. Many analysts thought that the Hezbullah-Israel war during the Summer stemmed from a miscalculation by Nasrallah...

Sunday, February 25, 2007

Supporting peace education in the PA? | Jerusalem Post

How can a country be asked t "make peace" with a country?(no)/nation?(no)/collection of clans brought together by politics(yes) like the Palestinians, who continue to print textbooks that demonize Israel and challenge its right to exist? Is Abbas that much better than Hamas, or just a more human, dishonest face? Supporting peace education in the PA? | Jerusalem Post. Is a people that educates its children like this ready for anything other than a failed state that will further destabilize the Middle East and lead to even more suffering? If the Sunni "moderates and the US want to achieve something productive vis a vis the Palestinian issue they should push Jordanian confederation with the Palestinians on an interim (one generation?) trusteeship model, and call upon the Palestinians to begin preparing their people, starting with their children, to accept Israel's existence and stop the absolutist, uncompromising mentality that is so much a problem of the pre-modern, Islamic religion.

Saturday, February 24, 2007

"Cool Facts About Israel" Video

...tells another side about Israel than just 24/7 war and conflict, such as having the highest number of museums per capita in the world, or having invented many of the high tech things we take for granted in our daily lives, like instant messaging and cell phone cameras. Too bad Israel's Arab and Iranian adversaries don't spend more of their time on doing things that help the world, instead of harm it.
"Cool Facts About Israel"

MEMRI TV- The Coming Taliban Offensive in Afganistan

While Congress squabbles over Iraq, the one concrete territorial success we have to show for ourselves so far in the global war against terror -- Afganistan -- is on the way to becoming unhinged. The NATO commander there has been screaming for more troops in advance of the anticipated Spring Taliban offensive, but Europe has not been forthcoming, except for the valiant British, who this past week volunteered another 1,000 soldiers to the expected hotbed in Southern Afganistan. The attached Al-Jazeera interview (thanks to Bud and Phyllis for this), should get everyone's attention (MEMRI TV--The Coming Taliban Offensive in Afganistan). Indeed, a picture IS worth a thousand words, with this video reporting on the threat of 500 suicide bombers, 10,000 Taliban soldiers (this is an army) and anti-aircraft surprises (no doubt due to the generosity of the Russians).

Between the Taliban, Iraq, and the distinct possibility of the bubbling over of the Iranian situation, complemented by anti-Israeli action in Lebanon and Syria, it could be a very busy late Spring. To my friends in the hedge fund world, I'd recommend going "long" volatility.



Hezbollah's revenue stream flows through the Americas

Blood Money

Hezbollah's revenue stream flows through the Americas

By Steven Emerson

The American Legion Magazine

March 2007

Since 9/11, U.S. counterterrorism policy has focused primarily on the threat from al-Qaeda. But before Osama bin Laden's men brought down the Twin Towers , the international terrorist organization with the most American blood on its hands was Hezbollah. Even now, Hezbollah continues on its terrorist path. Last summer, the world watched as violence erupted in the Middle East after Hezbollah's cross-border raid into Israel resulted in the capture of two Israeli soldiers and the killing of eight others. Meanwhile, the organization has honed techniques for financing its killing with proceeds from a wide range of illicit activities.

Hezbollah, the "Party of God," began as a radical Muslim Shiite organization in 1982, in response to the first Israeli-Lebanese war. Its stated goals were, and are, wiping Israel off the map and establishing a Shiite state in Lebanon . Its chief sponsor is the Islamic Republic of Iran, which provides major financial support as well as weapons and paramilitary training. Syria, Lebanon 's neighbor, also lends substantial support.

The two major leaders of Hezbollah are Secretary General Sheikh Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah and the organization's spiritual chief, Sheikh Muhammad Husayn Fadlallah, both named "specially designated global terrorists" by the U.S. government. Fadlallah issued the fatwa authorizing the 1983 bombing of the U.S. Marine barracks that killed 241 Americans, the government has charged.

The "Party of God" has evolved from a guerrilla and terror force, establishing itself as a "legitimate" political party in the Lebanese government and acting as a representative of Lebanon 's large Shiite population. Having gained high political profile, Hezbollah continues to maintain its armed militia and terrorist training bases.

Close to Home. Hezbollah's achievements as a multinational terror organization right here in the United States offer a glimpse into how the group functions. Our nation's porous borders with Mexico and Canada give Hezbollah operatives easy access to carry out fund-raising and recruiting operations. High-level Hezbollah agents have conducted complex, interstate criminal enterprises, raising millions of dollars and enabling the organization to purchase high-tech weaponry and materials to be sent to the group's Lebanese headquarters. These networks demonstrate clear chains of command and engage in a wide array of activities, including cigarette smuggling, human smuggling, drug trafficking, counterfeiting and "charitable work."

Perhaps the best-publicized Hezbollah fundraising scheme in the United States involved a Charlotte, N.C., cigarette-smuggling ring. Operatives bought cigarettes in North Carolina and resold them in Michigan without paying Michigan's higher taxes. Mohamad Youssef Hammoud, the group's ringleader, was convicted in 2002 on several charges: conspiracies to launder money and traffic in contraband cigarettes, immigration law violations and attempted bribery. Evidence in the trial revealed links between ringleader Hammoud and Sheikh Nasrallah, including a photo of the two men together. The case demonstrated the ease with which illegal immigrants take advantage of the U.S. system, raising money from illicit activities to support both an American Hezbollah cell and the group's headquarters in Lebanon.

The most high-profile case of a Hezbollah trained fighter on U.S. soil involved Mahmoud Youssef Kourani. In March 2005, Kourani pleaded guilty to conspiracy to provide material support to a foreign terrorist organization, and in June 2005, he was sentenced to 54 months in prison. The FBI affidavit in the case alleged that Kourani had sent $40,000 to his brother Haidar, Hezbollah's chief of military security in southern Lebanon . An informant told the FBI that Mahmoud Kourani claimed he had trained in Iran on behalf of Hezbollah and was a member of the Hezbollah unit responsible for the kidnapping and murder of Marine Lt. Col. William Higgins in Lebanon in 1988. According to government documents, "On approximately Feb. 4, 2001, Kourani surreptitiously entered the United States by sneaking across the U.S.-Mexico border in the trunk of a car. He reached Mexico by bribing . . . an official at the Mexican consulate in Beirut to give him a Mexican visa."

In addition to human smuggling, Hezbollah financiers have engaged in large-scale drug operations in North America. A federal indictment in January 2002 charged 36 individuals nationwide, including Ohio resident Mohammad Shabib. Investigators believe that since the early 1990s, Shabib managed to deposit roughly $8 million skimmed from drug sales into Chicago bank accounts. Part of the loot is believed to have benefited Hezbollah activities.

A New Front. Hezbollah operatives have frequently sought out sympathetic members of the Lebanese Diaspora to assist them, several of whom have owned and operated Lebanese restaurants. Salim Boughader Mucharrafille, owner of Cafe La Libanesa in Tijuana, Mexico, was arrested in December 2002 for running a ring that allegedly smuggled at least 200 Lebanese compatriots into the United States , including an employee of Al- Manar, Hezbollah's television station. Although it was never confirmed, Boughader was suspected of having helped Kourani to slip over the border. Last May, a Mexican judge sentenced Boughader to 14 years in prison for organized crime and human smuggling.

The case of Rady Zaiter, a.k.a. David Assi Alvarez, is an example of drug-running activities designed to benefit Hezbollah, using a restaurant as a front. In June 2005, Ecuadorian police broke up an international drug-trafficking ring led by the owners of El Turco restaurant: Zaiter and his partner, Maher Hamajo. The restaurant in Quito served as the logistical center for the ring's activities. Drug mules carried cocaine in double bottomed suitcases bound for other countries in South America, as well as Europe and the Middle East. According to investigating authorities, Hezbollah received at least 70 percent of the drug money. Additionally, officials confiscated more than $150,000 and 2,000 euros. Further arrests were made in Brazil, Syria and the Dutch Antilles, bringing the total apprehended to 19 people. El Turco, like the Detroit-area restaurant La Shish that was recently allegedly linked to Hezbollah, was a very popular restaurant, appreciated by the locals.

In May 2006, Detroit-based restaurant owner Tala1 Khalil Chahine and his wife, Elfat El Aouar, were indicted on federal tax-evasion charges. They allegedly concealed more than $20 million in profits from their La Shish restaurant chain and funneled some of those funds to Lebanon . In 2002, Chahine attended an Al-Mabarrat charity event in Lebanon at which he and Sheikh Fadlallah served as keynote speakers. Chahine admitted he attended the charity fund-raiser, reinforcing federal prosecutors' statement that he has "connections at the highest levels of ... Hezbollah." According to the Department of Justice, "Chahine was the representative at the ( Al-Mabarrat Lebanon ) event of a worldwide group of fund-raisers." Federal prosecutors also alleged that agents searching Chahine's Michigan house discovered a letter thanking him for his sponsorship of 40 Lebanese orphans - a term the Department of Justice considers "a euphemism used by Hezbollah to refer to the orphans of martyrs."

Al-Mabarrat has a U.S.-based branch headquartered in Dearborn, Mich. Founded in 1991, the Al-Mabarrat Charitable Organization-USA, Inc., has repeatedly changed its name over the past 15 years. Although Al-Mabarrat acknowledges on its Web site that it works in conjunction with the Al-Mabarrat Association in Lebanon (whose logo it shares), it omits the fact that Al-Mabarrat Lebanon is run by Sheikh Fadlallah. Despite Al- Mabarrat USA's direct link to a Fadlallah-controlled organization, the U.S. branch continues to operate unfettered.

Hezbollah's use of Al-Mabarrat as a fund-raising front is a savvy strategic move, mirroring a tactic long exploited by terrorist groups operating on U.S. soil. By utilizing charities, terrorists can generate popular support by providing some legitimate services, attract contributions from donors both unwitting and aware, and attempt to obscure financial trails. But such operations extend far beyond the United States.

Worldwide Reach. Hezbollah revealed its strong South American presence to the world with the 1992 bombing of the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires . The attack killed 29 people and wounded more than 240. The group struck again in the Argentine capital in 1994, killing 86 at a Jewish community center in the largest terror attack against Argentina to date.

Hezbollah has long used parts of South America as a training ground, in particular the tri-border area where Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay meet. It has demonstrated a keen interest in extending its activities to other parts of Latin America, including Venezuela, Cuba, Panama and Colombia.

The best example of the extent of Hezbollah's South American reach is the 2002 arrest of Assad Ahmad Barakat in Brazil . Designated by the U.S. Treasury Department as a Hezbollah fundraiser, Barakat has been called one of the terrorist organization's most prominent and influential members. He is believed to have transferred up to $50 million to Hezbollah since 1995. Two of his businesses - Casa Apollo, a wholesale electronics store, and Barakat Import-Export Ltd. - were used to launder terrorist money and facilitate the movement of Hezbollah operatives. Both have been designated by the U.S. Treasury Department as terrorist fronts.

Although Europe has thus far been exempt from Hezbollah attacks, numerous intelligence experts and officials assert that the group's operatives maintain cells across the continent. German authorities, in particular, have expressed concern about the presence of several hundred Hezbollah members in their country. Hezbollah has established several front charities, mainly operating from Great Britain and Germany, to raise funds earmarked to support the group's members in Lebanon . For example, the British-based Lebanese Welfare Committee, HELP Charity Association for Relief and Abrar Islamic Foundation are among the charities suspected of channeling funds to Sheikh Nasrallah and Hezbollah.

Reports of an increase in Hezbollah recruiting have emerged in eastern European countries, specifically Slovakia, Bosnia and Russia . And over the past few years, Hezbollah has sent operatives with European identification papers to Israel in order to collect intelligence for future attacks. Efforts by European authorities to curtail Hezbollah's influence have included France 's 2004 ban of Hezbollah's television station and chief propaganda machine, A1- Manar, from that nation's satellite television providers. Spain and the United States have made similar moves.

Finally, Hezbollah has been actively fund-raising in Africa for the past two decades, tapping a pool of Shiite Muslim communities, especially in Senegal and the Ivory Coast . The organization engages in mafia-style extortion, all the while receiving money from its large sympathetic donor base. The money generated from the group's African operations alone runs well into the millions of dollars. The Ivory Coast is used not only for fund-raising but also as a safe haven for Hezbollah operatives on the run. Iran has also stepped up its Ivory Coast presence, financing mosques and sending imams to preach in them.

While al-Qaeda has long utilized the African "blood-diamond" trade to facilitate its operations, Hezbollah has recently begun taking its own share in various West Africa countries, including the Democratic Republic of Congo, Burkina Faso, Togo and Sierra Leone. A blood diamond, also called "conflict diamond" or "war diamond," refers to the precious gem mined in war-torn countries of western and southern Africa, and sold, often clandestinely, in order to finance insurgents, rebels and terrorists. The extortion of diamond merchants is believed to be a tactic adapted by Hezbollah from its South American experience.

New Alliances. One issue with wide-ranging implications for U.S. consumers is the growing alliance between Hezbollah, its regional sponsors, and emerging elements in Latin America - notably Venezuela , where the terrorist group is calling for a stronger relationship with President Hugo Chavez.

After Chavez visited Lebanon last summer, a Hezbollah official told an Indian newspaper, "Mr. Chavez is closer to us than any other Arab leader, and we hope that we will be able to benefit, as he has, from this particular experience (in Lebanon )." The affection seems mutual. On a trip to Iran in July to meet with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Chavez said, "The brave resistance of the Lebanese people and Hezbollah symbolizes their indomitable spirit and reveals how the Islamic and Arab world is fed up with U.S. policy in the region."

Venezuela, an OPEC nation, owns CITGO Petroleum, identified on CITGO’s Web site as a "wholly owned subsidiary of Petroleos de Venezuela, S.A., the national oil company of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela ." Filling up at any of the 14,000 CITGO gas stations across the United States thus funds a government that is on the record as being a strong supporter of Hezbollah.

Criminal activity in the United States has raised millions of dollars for Hezbollah as well. The question remains whether Hezbollah members and supporters within our borders possess the wherewithal to carry out attacks if ordered to do so. Although no direct evidence exists of an imminent attack, their presence, as well their ability to conduct illicit operations often undetected by U.S. border security and law-enforcement officials, presents a significant threat to U.S. national security and the safety of American citizens.

Steven Emerson is executive director of The Investigative Project and author of 'American Jihad: The Terrorists Living Among US" (Free Press).

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Washington Institute: The Mecca Accord -- Implications for Arabs, Israel and US Policy

The Mecca Accord (Part II): Implications for Arabs, Israel, and U.S. Policy
By Robert Satloff
February 12, 2007

The Fatah-Hamas unity agreement reached in Mecca last week has powerful implications for all regional players. The most serious challenge it poses is to U.S. diplomacy.

Arab Winners and Losers

It is apparent from a reading of the key Mecca documents that the unity accord was only made possible by Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas's decision to compromise, not by concessions from Hamas. There are four possible explanations for Abbas's actions: (1) he looked at the correlation of forces between Hamas and Fatah and reasoned that Hamas was so powerful that he and his allies could not win a political showdown, even with the active support of Israel and the United States, and therefore hoped to buy time for Fatah's rehabilitation; (2) he was so appalled at the prospect of intra-Palestinian violence and the prospect of civil war that he decided to pay a stiff price for internal peace; (3) he believed that the cover of a unity government may provide him with the protection to pursue U.S.-backed diplomacy with Israel that will, eventually, allow him to turn on his new Hamas partners; or (4) he is not nearly as committed to a permanent peace agreement with Israel, reached through peaceful means, as his reputation has led observers to believe. (A recent hate-filled speech by Abbas, in which he praises such Palestinian "martyrs" as former Islamic Jihad chief Fathi Shiqaqi, lends tragic credence to this latter view.) While each is possible, none -- not even the most optimistic scenario, option number three -- instills hope and confidence in Abbas's strategic vision and leadership skills.

Hamas clearly emerges strengthened by the Mecca accord. In exchange for some flexibility on naming ministerial portfolios and a vaguely worded statement about "respect[ing]" unspecified resolutions and agreements, Hamas received a huge political boost in the form of an embrace by both Abbas and the Saudi leadership. Indeed, just days after Fatah loyalists lobbed one of the worst epithets in the region's political lexicon at the Sunni extremists of Hamas during a major West Bank demonstration -- calling them "Shiites" -- Abbas allowed himself to be pictured along with Hamas leader Khaled Mashal and PA prime minister Ismail Haniyeh wearing nothing but pure cotton cloth performing Muslim ritual ablutions in Mecca. For Abbas, who was once accused of being a secret Bahai, itself a cardinal offense in the Sunni world, this was the twenty-first century equivalent of Henry IV's "Paris is worth a mass" volte-face.

Among Arab countries, the main winner from the Mecca deal is Saudi Arabia. Whether or not the kingdom survives the vicissitudes of Palestinian politics, merely engineering the Hamas-Fatah accord shows that Riyadh could succeed in significant regional diplomacy where two other Arab powers -- Cairo and Damascus -- could not. To a certain extent, the Saudis were default mediators: Hamas has consistently sought to embarrass Egypt, refusing to buckle under pressure to release abducted Israeli Cpl. Gilad Shalit, whereas Abbas knew that striking a deal under Syrian auspices would add insult to American injury. Nevertheless, the Saudis will now bask in the glow of inter-Arab peacemaking. If Americans cry foul at Saudi efforts to legitimate Hamas -- and so far, the Quartet (the United States, European Union, Russia, and the UN) has actually welcomed, not criticized, Saudi efforts -- Riyadh will claim that its mediation prevented Iran from gaining deeper inroads among Palestinian radicals. It is unclear whether King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia was actually animated by the strategic imperative to rally Sunni Arabs of all political stripes to confound Iranian schemes to extend Shiite influence throughout the Sunni Arab world or was merely moved to action by distasteful images of Palestinians killing Palestinians. What is clear, though, is that the Saudi "achievement" at Mecca came at the expense of legitimizing a radical organization that couldn't even specifically endorse the Saudi peace plan.

A second Arab winner in the Mecca deal is Syria. Palestinian political unity means that the chances have dimmed for diplomatic progress on the Palestinian track; Damascus will view this as a net positive, because it means there may be an opportunity to stoke interest in reviving the Syrian track. But if the past is prologue, the Syrians are not likely to take advantage of their own good fortune by making their offer to negotiate with Israel more attractive. Instead, Syrian president Bashar al-Asad is likely to undermine his own position by taking steps -- such as issuing bellicose statements, delivering dangerous weapons to Hizballah, or extending operational aid to some radical terrorist organization -- that makes it impossible for the Israeli government to consider this option.

Among Arab countries, the major losers from the Hamas-Fatah accord are Egypt and Jordan. In recent months, Cairo has been subject to a bout of national self-doubt, based on its inability to throw its traditional weight around in inter-Arab issues. Egypt's embarrassing failure to arrange a Hamas-Fatah accord will feed the growing sense around the region that the Egyptian emperor has no clothes. When Egypt looks for new opportunities to exert influence, as is likely, Washington needs to ensure that Egyptian ambitions are directed in a positive direction (such as leading Arab support to promote stability in Iraq) and that Egypt doesn't compete for the radical share of the Arab popularity market (such as investing in an "Arab nuclear option" to counter the Iranian nuclear program).

But whereas Egypt may suffer psychological fallout from the Saudi success, Jordan may be on the verge of a major strategic setback. King Abdullah II, after all, has argued that failure to achieve Israeli-Palestinian peace within the coming period may mean that prospects for peace will never be realized -- and there can be no doubt that Hamas-Fatah accord certainly set back whatever hopes for diplomatic progress may have existed. One implication is that some in Israel are likely to give a second look to the policy of unilateral withdrawal, which Jordanians view with dread because it is likely to create a West Bank vacuum that Hamas will fill. Even if Israel does not go down that route, which has been discredited inside Israel by the rise of Hizballah and Hamas following withdrawals in Lebanon and Gaza, the strengthening of Hamas at the expense of Abbas can only have the effect of emboldening Jordan's own "Hamas-wing" of the Islamic Action Front inside the Hashemite kingdom.

Israel: Back to February 2006?

In Israel, the political echelon seems to be unsure of its response to the Mecca accord. At his weekly cabinet meeting yesterday, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said his government "neither accepts nor rejects" the accord, which seemed not to keep pace with the fact that some key governments, such as France and Russia, had already reacted positively to the idea of including Hamas in regional diplomacy. For Israel, critical decisions need to be made, such as the continuation of financial and security support to Abbas. In essence, Israel finds itself today in exactly the same situation it was in exactly a year ago, when Abbas first appointed Haniyeh to serve as prime minister. At the time, Olmert, Tzipi Livni and other leaders of the Kadima party said the right approach for Israel was to see no distinction between Abbas and Haniyeh, a position that evolved considerably over time. Returning to that position today will require an abrupt shift in Israeli diplomacy, which can only be achieved in full coordination with the United States.

Dilemmas for Washington

The Mecca accord presents the United States with more serious dilemmas than any other party. At the two ends of the spectrum, Washington's options are as follows:

•to declare that Mecca has erased any distinction between moderate and radical in the Palestinian camp, suspend all efforts at direct assistance to Abbas, withdraw Gen. Keith Dayton's security assistance team, and curtail efforts to negotiate an Israeli-Palestinian "political horizon."

•to consider Mecca a purely internal, and quite insignificant, intra-Palestinian affair that has no bearing either on existing international conditions for a renewal of aid to the PA, which still stand, or on diplomatic efforts to pursue Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy, which would go forward. In other words, the United States could behave as if the Mecca accord were irrelevant.

The Bush administration is unlikely to want to pursue either route to its logical conclusion. It would prefer not to take a public position against Palestinian unity, even if such unity comes at the price of progress toward peace. Yet it surely realizes that, with Mecca, the sun has set on the pursuit of a "political horizon."

To complicate matters even further, this setback to one key initiative advanced by the administration comes at a time when another key U.S.-backed initiative -- UN Security Council Resolution 1701, the Lebanon ceasefire accord -- is under pressure as well. Here, the problem is repeated reports of substantial efforts by Syria to transfer weapons to Hizballah in direct contravention of the resolution. Last week, for example, German media reported the transfer of one hundred containers of Russian-made antitank weapons from Syria to Hizballah, under the watchful gaze of Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps officers. Israeli defense minister Amir Peretz has publicly warned that, given the ineffectiveness of international guarantees preventing Hizballah's resupply, Israel may have to take its own action.

Collectively, these setbacks suggest that the Bush administration needs to revisit some of its key presumptions about the potential for stability and progress on various Arab-Israeli fronts and what is necessary to achieve them. Before taking further incremental steps on either the Palestinian or the Lebanese front, it is essential for Washington to reach strategic understandings with two players -- the Israelis and the Saudis -- on the direction of policy. With both Jerusalem and Riyadh, there are obvious tensions that need to be addressed. The Hamas issue is central: Strategically, both Israel and Saudi Arabia support the idea of Sunni cooperation to counter the rise of Iranian influence but tactically, they differ as to whether Hamas is part of the problem or part of the solution. In this context, did the Saudis purposefully "disrespect" the United States in mediating the Mecca Accord or could they possibly have believed that Washington was neutral or even supportive of an agreement that may have failed on the scorecard of the Quartet's conditions but that may ostensibly have succeeded in separating Hamas from its Iranian backers?

In this context, Washington might explore whether the potential exists for Israel and Saudi Arabia to engage more publicly in their own diplomacy. Given the limits on what can be achieved between Israelis and Palestinians after Mecca, expanding the orbit of regional diplomacy may make sense, especially if the Saudis are interested in arguing that Mecca not only ends Palestinian infighting but actually contributes to regional security. Since both Israelis and Saudis say they are keen to prevent the spread of Iranian influence in the Levant, the two sides would seem to have much to talk about, not least of which is a practical implementation plan for the eventual all-Arab recognition of Israel, the cornerstone of the Saudi peace initiative. This would, in essence, be the negotiation of an Arab Roadmap that would complement the existing Quartet Roadmap and would provide Israel with a countervailing set of incentives to those that the pursuit of a "political horizon" provides for Palestinians. There are many potential formats for this sort of engagement -- and there is a precedent: Saudi participation at the mother of all peace conferences in Madrid in 1991.

Dealing with regional diplomacy is no substitute for addressing the Mecca accord itself. Here, there is no avoiding the fact that while the United States welcomes Sunni Arab cooperation to counter rising Iranian influence, it cannot countenance the legitimization of an unreformed extremist organization like Hamas. It might have been a close call if Hamas had grudgingly uttered a formula close to the Quartet's conditions, but Hamas won the brass ring without having to compromise. In this regard, and in the absence of some other attractive regional option to occupy diplomacy, U.S. policy should reconsider the original intent of President Bush's landmark 2002 Rose Garden address, delivered with then-National Security Advisor Rice at his side: "I call on the Palestinian people to elect new leaders, leaders not compromised by terror. I call upon them to build a practicing democracy, based on tolerance and liberty. If the Palestinian people actively pursue these goals, America and the world will actively support their efforts. . . . And when the Palestinian people have new leaders, new institutions, and new security arrangements with their neighbors, the United States of America will support the creation of a Palestinian state whose borders and certain aspects of its sovereignty will be provisional until resolved as part of a final settlement in the Middle East."

Robert Satloff is executive director of The Washington Institute.

China Tilts Green - WSJ.com

Since China, followed by India, are an increasingly key component to the global warming issue (and China gets most of its energy from the worst villain, coal), the development of carbon tradng in China and the realization by its government that it needs to do something about this increasing problem are all good signs (one key -- they see global warming as contributing to a contraction of the Chinese food supply -- authoritarian regimes need to be able to feed their people in order to maintain power). Who ever thought that energy efficiency would make it into a Chinese 5 year plan?
China Tilts Green - WSJ.com

FT.com / In depth - Iran on course for nuclear bomb, EU told

Well, there you have it -- accordign the an internal EU assessment paper, diplomatic efforts have not stopped the Iranians at all so far and they are on course to a bomb in thhe next three years. This should give all the ammunition necessary for a renewed, concerted strong diplomatic effort of vigorous sanctions coupled with the carrot of negotiation on this and terrorist support for easing of US sanctions (yes, there is a bit of Baker-Hamilton in me), with a realistic threat of military action in the background.

The Saudis are already trying to stake a Sunni leadership position by brokering the Palestinian government unification (a bad deal for all opponents of extremism). The Iranian issue cannot be ignored for any longer, lest we see some really damaging Sunni mischief emerge.
FT.com / In depth - Iran on course for nuclear bomb, EU told

Monday, February 12, 2007

Digs, lies and the Mugrabi bridge - Haaretz - Israel News

  • The Mugrabi bridge plan exposes the great Muslim denial - the denial of the Jewish bond to Jerusalem, the Temple Mount and the Temple. Thousands of Islamic rulings, publications and sources deny the Jewish roots in Jerusalem and its holy places. They claim that the Temple didn't even exist in Jerusalem but was located in Nablus or Yemen. Many Muslim adjudicators attach the word "so-called" to the word "temple."
  • Muslim religious figures attempt to portray the Jewish presence in Jerusalem as having been short-term. The Western Wall is a Muslim site, they argue, and say Judaism "contaminates the city's Muslim character."
  • Muslim religious leaders are rewriting Jerusalem's history and introducing new terms and content into Muslim and Palestinian discourse that are total nonsense.
  • It is therefore easy to understand why the Muslims are so afraid of archaeological digs around the Temple Mount. Muslims fear these excavations not because they physically endanger the al-Aqsa mosque's foundations, but because they undermine the tissue of lies proclaiming that the Jews have no valid historical roots in the city and its holy sites.



Digs, lies and the Mugrabi bridge - Haaretz - Israel News

Sunday, February 11, 2007

Temple Mount Truths:HonestReporting

Very good summary of the issues in the latest Muslim-inspired "controversy" regarding holy sites in Israel(Temple Mount Truths). This is another contrived excuse by Palestinians to try to energize mindless violence. Those who say Israel should therefore hold back from the renovations miss the point that no nation should have to restrain itself from exerting its sovereignty through lawful actions simply because of radical threats of violence. To quote HR:

SOME SIMPLE FACTS

  • The work carried out by Israeli professional authorities is completely transparent, which is why the excavations are open to the press.
  • All activities are being carried out in a location that is under Israeli sovereignty in an area under the responsibility of the Jerusalem municipality and the Government of Israel.
  • The new bridge and the Mugrabi Ramp are located entirely outside of the Temple Mount complex and are not part of it.
  • The aim of this process is to replace the old ramp which collapsed due to natural causes.
  • Building the new bridge will not harm any religious feelings and/or interests.
  • All operations are in cooperation with UN officials, Palestinian officials and other member of the international community and are completely transparent to them.

Thursday, February 08, 2007

Reckless Caution - WSJ.com

An article worth reading -- regardless of the mistakes made in Iraq, two wrongs don't make a right -- Democrats are subject to the sentiments of the left wing of their own party that would preclude US leadership when and where it is most important, which could lead to more catastrophic consequences (e.g., would we really prefer that Israel nuke Iran?).
Reckless Caution - WSJ.com

Copter Crashes Suggest Shift in Iraqi Tactics - New York Times

The New York Times shows the ability to write an entire article about an onslaught in helicopter downings taking place in Iraq as a result of new strategy and some influx of new weapons, but they manage, through the entire article, to skirt the question of where the weaponry or training is coming from (though they atateat one point that is is mostly old weaponry). Isn't this a relevant question? Is Iran or Syria complicit in this? Is the Times afraid that even raising this suggestion would broaden the conflict? If that is there concern, is it the Times right to shape this news story through some obvious omissions because of its political agenda?

The New York Times would flunk a high school news reporting class on the basis of this performance.
Copter Crashes Suggest Shift in Iraqi Tactics - New York Times

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

PMW - Latest Bulletins

PMW - Latest Bulletins

OpinionJournal - Leisure & Arts

OpinionJournal - Leisure & Arts

The Study of Political Islam by Jamie Glazov

Thanks to Suzanne of HR for this one.( The Study of Political Islam by Jamie Glazov)

This article is a bit dense, but it provides a very clear reminder of Islamist theology and where it naturally leads. Perhaps Liberals breast-beaters should be more worried about Islamic theology and not the Christian Right.

The most tangible thing they can do right now to protect us from this Islamic threat to our civilization, other foreign relations' ills from oil producers (Russia, Venezuela, Nigeria, etc... -- a virtually moral cesspool), and global warming is to drive a Manahattan Project/Space Program-type drive to energy independence. I had lunch with a very bright, new congressman in Washington yesterday who assured me with real conviction that the new Congress "gets it" on that score, but it remains to be seen whether they will be bold enough -- and willing to exact the short term pain necessary -- to achieve these energy independence goals. See also Thomas Friedman's op-ed in the Times today, "Yes, We Can Find an Exit" on Iraq and energy policy, and the need to tax our way to a base price for gas (he posits $3.50 a gallon) to assure the possibility of success of alternative energy ventures. Does a Democratic Congress have the guts to take leadership -- and ignore protestations of the Right that the Democrats are all about "tax and spend" -- and increase end-user gas taxes or exact a temporary war tax for the Iraq War? No pain, no gain?

Islam’s Other Victims: India

I don't know what siezed me to grab this article, but I always areciate a little history to shine a light on what the ill-informed apologist,politically correct would otherwise choose to ignore (Islam’s Other Victims: India ).

As this author states with regard to the Muslim onslaguht against India,
"Unlike Germany, which has apologized to its Jewish and Eastern European victims, and Japan, which has at least behaved itself since WWII, and even America, which has gone into paroxysms of guilt over what it did to the infinitely smaller numbers of Red Indians, the Moslem aggressors against India and their successors have not even stopped trying to finish the job they started. To this day, militant Islam sees India as "unfinished business" and it remains high on the agenda of oil-rich Moslem countries such as Saudi Arabia, which are spending millions every year trying to convert Hindus to Islam."

And so, the Msulims see their attack on the West as unfinished theological business as well, and there aren't an abundance of moderate Islamic voices dissenting...

Monday, February 05, 2007

On US-Indian Shared Values- WSJ.com

India is a true democracy (the largest one in the world, by far), increasingly capitalistic, and on the front line in the battle against Islamic extremism and Chinese expansionism. Beyond leaving this relationship exclusively to the province of the arms makers and Halliburton, we should find ways to encourage the development of the US-Indian relationship at every level.
The Indian Giver - WSJ.com

Sunday, February 04, 2007

Stratfor: Mossad killed Iranian nuclear physicist

U.S. website: Mossad killed Iranian nuclear physicist
Thanks to Joel for pointing out this one. Hopefully the Israelis can accomplish much more covertly, to buy us all added time. Hopefully we are helping.

Saudi court sentences foreigners for drinking, dancing | Jerusalem Post

The sooner we develop real alternatives to oil, the sooner we can disengage from this sick region. Too bad we wasted the past 31 years -- since President Ford identified energy independence as a national security imperative --or we might be in reasonably good shape in this regard. for that matter,we would have been in a better position vis a vis global warming as well. Are we going to waste the next 31 years at the expense of our children and their children?
Saudi court sentences foreigners for drinking, dancing | Jerusalem Post

Friday, February 02, 2007

Once a Dream Fuel, Palm Oil May Be an Eco-Nightmare - New York Times

Fascinating article illustrating how the well meaning and morally self-righteous, but intellectually lazy, can really screw things up through jumping into market-altering incentives that do not adequately consider their ramifications (Once a Dream Fuel, Palm Oil May Be an Eco-Nightmare - New York Times). Indonesia is now the third largest greenhouse gas producer in the word, believe it or not, due to clearing of huge tracts of Southeast Asian rainforest and the overuse of chemical fertilizer there in order to meet European government incentive-driven market demand for palm oil. I have talked in the past about getting too hepped up about corn-derived ethanol for the same reason, but the red state lobbyists are too deep into Washington's crotch already on this score, and corn prices have moved to show it.