Monday, February 26, 2007

DEBKAfile - US or Israeli Military Strike against Iran Hinges on Secret Saudi Diplomacy

Having just returned from the Negev desert in Israel, where we definitely saw a heightened level of Israeli air force training activity over what I (and others with us) had observed over the years, including aerial tanker use, Israel is definitely training for long range bombing missions.(DEBKAfile - US or Israeli Military Strike against Iran Hinges on Secret Saudi Diplomacy). Like actual intelligence, a good dose of Debka reporting is typically conjecture and fantasy, but this story feels more real. I also note the point Debka makes about possible spoiler provocation events that could lead the whole area to war -- it wouldn't take much for a rogue terrorist group or other party to launch an attack that could lead to over-reaction from either side. Many analysts thought that the Hezbullah-Israel war during the Summer stemmed from a miscalculation by Nasrallah...

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