Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Gaza burns as leadership fiddles - Israel Opinion, Ynetnews

Gaza burns as leadership fiddles - Ray Hanania, Palestinian American Author and Columnist: "In assessing the escalating violence in the Gaza Strip, nearly every Arab analyst has placed the blame on Israel, avoiding the real challenges posed by rising strife in Palestinian society itself.

Gaza remains in turmoil, but not solely because Israel maintains the upper-hand in the military conflict there. In other words, yes, Israel is a part of the problem, but focusing only on Israel is a fatal error.

Arab World analysts continue to turn away from the obvious, however, because Arabs as a culture reject the notion of accepting blame and responsibility [emphasis added]. Instead, they prefer to embrace preposterous theories that cast all blame on the foreign element, Israel, hoping to rally the Arab and Palestinian spirit."

The Vulcan Utopia - New York Times

The Vulcan Utopia - New York Times: "If you’re going to read Al Gore’s book, you’re going to have to steel yourself for a parade of sentences like the following:

'The remedy for what ails our democracy is not simply better education (as important as that is) or civic education (as important as that can be), but the re-establishment of a genuine democratic discourse in which individuals can participate in a meaningful way — a conversation of democracy in which meritorious ideas and opinions from individuals do, in fact, evoke a meaningful response.'

But, hey, nobody ever died from contact with pomposity, and Al Gore’s “The Assault on Reason” is well worth reading. It reminds us that whatever the effects of our homogenizing mass culture, it is still possible for exceedingly strange individuals to rise to the top."

Monday, May 28, 2007

DEBKAfile - DEBKAfile Exclusive: US and Israel eye with concern Russian test-flight Tuesday of the modernized version of the Iskander-M tactical cruis

DEBKAfile - DEBKAfile Exclusive: US and Israel eye with concern Russian test-flight Tuesday of the modernized version of the Iskander-M tactical cruise missile

If this report is true (it IS debka, after all), this would be bad. The Soviets (I mean Russians) are willing to sell it to Syria, in principal, according to the article, which also means Iran, and it could be used against our interceptors of Iranian missiles in Poland and Czech. Supposedly, this cruise missile can beat anything we have to defend against it.

A man of courage | Jerusalem Post

There are real victims to those Kassam rocket attacks. Israel withdrew form Gaza to give the Palestinians there a chance to make their lives better without interference, and they proceeded to elect Hamas democratically and to turn Gaza into a launching pad for endless rocket and terrorist assault on Israeli civilians. Anything the Israelis have done to the Palestinians have been in clear response to this provocation, but they cannot afford to let Hamas have a regrouping ceasefire -- they must now drive the battle home until the Palestinian people wake up and ask, "what has Hamas brought us?". Or they will die...

A man of courage | Jerusalem Post

Sunday, May 27, 2007

Wall Street Journal -- How to End Islamophobia

IN THE UMMAH

How to End 'Islamophobia'
The latest survey of American Muslims won't reassure their fellow citizens.

BY TAWFIK HAMID
Friday, May 25, 2007 12:01 a.m. EDT

Islamic organizations regularly accuse non-Muslims of "Islamophobia," a fear and disdain for everything Islamic. On May 17, this accusation bubbled up again as foreign ministers from the Organization of the Islamic Conference called Islamophobia "the worst form of terrorism." These ministers also warned, according to the Arab News, that this form of discrimination would cause millions of Muslims in Western countries, "many of whom were already underprivileged," to be "further alienated."

In America, perhaps the most conspicuous organization to persistently accuse opponents of Islamophobia is the Council of American Islamic Relations. CAIR has taken up the legal case of the "Flying Imams," the six individuals who were pulled from a US Airways flight in Minneapolis this past November after engaging in suspicious behavior before takeoff. Not long ago, CAIR filed a "John Doe" lawsuit that would have made passengers liable for "malicious" complaints about suspicious Muslim passengers.

In an interview at the time, CAIR spokesman Nihad Awad accused Rep. Peter King (R., N.Y.) of being an "extremist" who "encourages Islamophobia" for pointing out what most people would think is obvious, that such a lawsuit would have a chilling effect on passengers who witnessed alarming activity and wished to report it. We can only assume that Mr. Awad believes flyers should passively remain in a state of fear as they travel and submissively risk their lives. In this case, Congress is acting appropriately and considering passing a law sponsored by Mr. King that would grant passengers immunity from such lawsuits.

It may seem bizarre, but Islamic reformers are not immune to the charge of "Islamophobia" either. For 20 years, I have preached a reformed interpretation of Islam that teaches peace and respects human rights. I have consistently spoken out--with dozens of other Muslim and Arab reformers--against the mistreatment of women, gays and religious minorities in the Islamic world. We have pointed out the violent teachings of Salafism and the imperative of Westerners to protect themselves against it.

Yet according to CAIR's Michigan spokeswoman, Zeinab Chami, I am "the latest weapon in the Islamophobe arsenal." If standing against the violent edicts of Shariah law is "Islamophobic," then I will treat her accusation as a badge of honor.

Muslims must ask what prompts this "phobia" in the first place. When we in the West examine the worldwide atrocities perpetrated daily in the name of Islam, it is vital to question if we--Muslims--should lay the blame on others for Islamophobia or if we should first look hard at ourselves.

According to a recent Pew Global Attitudes survey, "younger Muslims in the U.S. are much more likely than older Muslim Americans to say that suicide bombing in the defense of Islam can be at least sometimes justified." About one out of every four American Muslims under 30 think suicide bombing in defense of Islam is justified in at least some circumstances. Twenty-eight percent believe that Muslims did not carry out the 9/11 attacks and 32% declined to answer that question. [EMPHASIS ADDED]

While the survey has been represented in the media as proof of moderation among American Muslims, the actual results should yield the opposite conclusion. If, as the Pew study estimates, there are 2.35 million Muslims in America, that means there are a substantial number of people in the U.S. who think suicide bombing is sometimes justified. Similarly, if 5% of American Muslims support al Qaeda, that's more than 100,000 people. [I was more moderate in my estimation in a previous blog posting on this survey -- but at 5% or 1%, its a hell of a lot of potential terrirsts in our country]

To bring an end to Islamophobia, we must employ a holistic approach that treats the core of the disease. It will not suffice to merely suppress the symptoms. It is imperative to adopt new Islamic teachings that do not allow killing apostates (Redda Law). Islamic authorities must provide mainstream Islamic books that forbid polygamy and beating women. Accepted Islamic doctrine should take a strong stand against slavery and the raping of female war prisoners, as happens in Darfur under the explicit canons of Shariah ("Ma Malakat Aimanikum"). Muslims should teach, everywhere and universally, that a woman's testimony in court counts as much as a man's, that women should not be punished if they marry whom they please or dress as they wish.

We Muslims should publicly show our strong disapproval for the growing number of attacks by Muslims against other faiths and against other Muslims. Let us not even dwell on 9/11, Madrid, London, Bali and countless other scenes of carnage. It has been estimated that of the two million refugees fleeing Islamic terror in Iraq, 40% are Christian, and many of them seek a haven in Lebanon, where the Christian population itself has declined by 60%. Even in Turkey, Islamists recently found it necessary to slit the throats of three Christians for publishing Bibles.

Of course, Islamist attacks are not limited to Christians and Jews. Why do we hear no Muslim condemnation of the ongoing slaughter of Buddhists in Thailand by Islamic groups? Why was there silence over the Mumbai train bombings which took the lives of over 200 Hindus in 2006? We must not forget that innocent Muslims, too, are suffering. Indeed, the most common murderers of Muslims are, and have always been, other Muslims. Where is the Muslim outcry over the Sunni-Shiite violence in Iraq?

Islamophobia could end when masses of Muslims demonstrate in the streets against videos displaying innocent people being beheaded with the same vigor we employ against airlines, Israel and cartoons of Muhammad. It might cease when Muslims unambiguously and publicly insist that Shariah law should have no binding legal status in free, democratic societies.

It is well past time that Muslims cease using the charge of "Islamophobia" as a tool to intimidate and blackmail those who speak up against suspicious passengers and against those who rightly criticize current Islamic practices and preachings. Instead, Muslims must engage in honest and humble introspection. Muslims should--must--develop strategies to rescue our religion by combating the tyranny of Salafi Islam and its dreadful consequences. Among more important outcomes, this will also put an end to so-called Islamophobia.

Dr. Hamid, a onetime member of Jemaah Islamiya, an Islamist terrorist group, is a medical doctor and Muslim reformer living in the West.

Thursday, May 24, 2007

Criticism of Slanted BBC 4 Documentary on Jerusalem and Zionism

BICOM: BBC 4 Documentary "Battle for the Holyland"; also Current Viewpoint
Attached are two excellent articles criticizing a recent BBC 4 documentary on Israel and the Palestinians and providing extremely well considered counter arguments to this sloppy documentary athat I urge all supporters of Israel and history to read, particularly kids going to college. For those Americans, Jewish and non-Jewish, who cannot believe how European public opinion can be so lopsided opposite American opinion when it comes to the issue of the Israelis and the Palestinians, read these pieces about this BBC propaganda. While they speak English with that British upper class, all-knowing accent that we have been trained to respect, the BBC has long been shameless in its one-sided unbalanced attacks on the legitimacy of Israel and, more and more, all things Jewish as well. This is the creeping anti-Semitism of the intellectual Left and their journalistic cronies, and it is nowhere more domineering than in Europe but it is spreading here. In the US the dominance of these elements of the Left are not as pronounced in daily life, though very prevalent on campus, where they are trying to convert the next generation of Americans to their cause. The only positive thing I can say about this is that in Europe the electorates of France and Germany have voted in governments that are more moderate and "less civilized" in their views than their Leftist elite. That being said, public opinion polls in Europe continue to be hopelessly poisoned against Israel (as well as the US), and documentaries like this one are a big part of the reason why.

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

We have a year to tackle Iran, says Cameron | International News | News | Telegraph

We have a year to tackle Iran, says Cameron | International News | News | Telegraph

Iran drawing up plans to strike European nuclear plants, analysts tells British lawmakers - International Herald Tribune

Iran drawing up plans to strike European nuclear plants, analysts tells British lawmakers - International Herald Tribune

RealClearPolitics - Articles - Al Gore's Insolent Assault on Reason

Free speech is only OK when it is our speech, says Al Gore.
RealClearPolitics - Articles - Al Gore's Insolent Assault on Reason

How to Win the Energy War - New York Times

A great summary of what has gone wrong in energy policy since Ford's days. As always, the blame sits mostly with venal, spineless politicians, but whose fault is that, if not ultimately ours? If they are corrupt and won't show leadership, we the voters need to keep throwing htem out until we elect someone worthy of our trust. Bloomberg for president!
How to Win the Energy War - New York Times

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

The Enemy Within -- 25% of Muslim teens: Suicide attacks ok | AP

25% of Muslim teens: Suicide attacks ok: "One in four younger US Muslims say suicide bombings to defend their religion are acceptable at least in some circumstances, though most Muslim Americans overwhelmingly reject the tactic and are critical of Islamic extremism and al-Qaida, a poll says."

While the article goes on to mitigate this number, even a 5% US Muslim acceptance rate of suicide bombing is chilling. There are an estimated 3 Million Muslims in the US (the article sites a lower figure that comes from Census data -- the figure I have seen is 3-5 Million). If even 5% of 3 Million American Muslims find suicide bombing to be acceptable "to defend Islam" (a very broad cause, which has included killing commentators for "insulting" the Prophet Muhammed), and even 1% of those individuals is willing to act upon it, that means that you have 1,500 Muslim potential suicide bombers who are native to the US. Think about it....

Statecraft and Stagecraft:Interviews with Kissinger, Schultz and Powell

Statecraft and Stagecraft

While I don't think Colin Powell, who was a failure as Secretary of State, belongs in this august group of statemen, this is an interesting set of interviews with men who know something about statecraft. It reinforces the observation du jour in Washington -- that the Bush administration is tone deaf to the skill of statecraft. As mentioned on this blog yesterday, please read Dennis Ross' veritable textbook on the subject, to come out soon, Statecraft: And How to Restore America's Standing in the World.

Analysis: Pinpoint accuracy is key to IAF's Gaza strikes | Jerusalem Post

Analysis: Pinpoint accuracy is key to IAF's Gaza strikes | Jerusalem Post
Lets face it -- targeted killings by both air and ground assets against terrorist networks in Gaza provides Israel a better cost benefit than large scale ground invasion, though it can't be assured of stopping portable missile launches like ground possession does. It is optimal for a small, extremely dense area like Gaza. By reducing collateral damage to civilians (you can't eliminate it), Israel keeps international pressure off your back as long as it is seen to be reacting to unprovoked attacks on your civilians. By keeping terrorists underground and on the run -- lest a special forces unit or a helicopter blow them up -- it deprives them of time to recruit, plan and effect terrorist missions. By destroying weapons caches, it deprives the physical fuel for conflict; by going after leaders rather than steamrolling neighborhoods, it doesn't engender as much hatred from Palestinians who realize that Hamas is bringing this upon itself -- and them. this also assists in the recruitment of intelligence assets among the Palestinians, to help make the next strike be more effective and accurate. Finally targeted killings make terrorist leaders think twice about their policies, if they are going to have to worry about being killed. To the extent anyone expects anything positive out of Abbas and Fatah, it helps them too.

Israel should keep up this pressure, without any letup.

SFGate: Edwards charges $55,000 to speak to UC Davis students about poverty

Thanks to Joel for this one. I was recently asked to raise money for a new congressman and came to better understand how corrupt our electoral system is, and how the need to keep raising money to run for election is probably the root cause of this -- even the honest who enter office can't help but be turned corrupt by the morally corrosive need to raise money. Of course, this also creates a mockery of democracy, as the incumbent's advantage is a crushing one (easier to raise money when you have current influence to sell). This system is broken. One of the allures of super wealthy candidates like Mike Bloomberg is that the public gets the impression that he does what he thinks is right, and is not in the tow of moneymen -- he simply writes the check himself. While this phenomenon is not good for democracy in the long run, when a seemingly good man like Bloomberg comes along, your instinct is to pray that he makes headway to effect change in the system (because no one else will).

SFGate : Edwards charges $55,000 to speak to UC Davis students about poverty

Monday, May 21, 2007

Dennis Ross : Empty Benches (or the lack of US statecraft)

Empty Benches -- New Republic Online
I have had the priviledge to spend some time with Dennis Ross, and it is a tragedy that you can't find anyone like him in the upper reaches of the Bush administration today. This administration simply does not know what "statecraft" in diplomacy is. As Dennis stated in this article, "Statecraft is about concepts and implementation. It is about recognizing what is needed and fashioning plans that can actually be carried out. I am afraid the benchmark plan -- designed to affect the grim day-to-day realities and their potential for escalation -- suffers from what we have all too often seen with the Bush administration: an attempt to get by on the cheap. Rather than working out (indeed grinding out) with both sides specific agreements as to what will be done, by whom, when, and with what consequences for non-performance, the administration has simply produced a new roadmap."

I highly urge that you all order Dennis' new book "Statecraft: And How to Restore America's Standing in the World".

Mideast: On Target - Here We Gaza Again

Mideast: On Target - Here We Gaza Again:

A very worthy read. While it is unclear what should be done, the point is well-made that the Lebanese government seems to know how -- and have the will -- to defend its people in Tripoli better than the Israelis do in Sderot, where a woman was killed today by a Kassam rocket. I personally disagree that the author's feeling that a massive ground assault is smart -- multiple semi-surgical bombings of the houses of Hamas leadership and bomb factories, commando operations and targetted assassinations focussed on Hamas leadership is probaby a much better way to go, and has proven to be successful against Hamas. What is clear is that this Israeli government must go.

Mortimer Zuckerman: Secretary Condoleezza Rice's Mirage in the Middle East - US News and World Report

I heard alot recently during my trip to a Washinton foreign affairs symposium about what a dope Condi is -- she is an analyst, not a stateman. See the enclosed piece from Mort Zuckerman.
Mortimer Zuckerman: Secretary Condoleezza Rice's Mirage in the Middle East - US News and World Report

Basically, as concisely summarized in Daily Alert, Zuckerman asserts correctly that:
  • More harm and no good at all has come from the Middle East interventions of Secretary of State Condi Rice. She has been promoting an Israeli-Palestinian "political horizon" - the latest euphemism for a comprehensive agreement. It sounds fine, but it has no relationship to the realities on the ground; in fact, it merely perpetuates a harmful illusion.
  • Both Mahmoud Abbas and Ariel Sharon advised that Hamas should not be allowed to take part in the election of '06 since Hamas had no intention of running a normal democracy but simply wanted to exploit Gaza as a base for a two-front war - one against Israel, the second against Palestinians loyal to Fatah. Condi Rice thought she knew better.
  • Ditto with Israeli objections to turning over the strip of land between Gaza and Egypt, known as the Philadelphia corridor. Her insistence has enabled Hamas to import tons of ammunition. Hamas and Islamic Jihad terrorists move freely between Gaza and Egypt, and from there to Syria, Lebanon, and Iran for training. Hamas continues to manufacture huge amounts of weapons and continues to launch Kassam rockets into Israel on a daily basis.
  • The Bush administration wants someone to make an agreement with - and there isn't anybody. Nobody on the Palestinian side, for sure.
  • Only the Arab countries - Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan - can provide enough cover and pressure for the Palestinians to make an agreement, but they don't want to. The Saudis prefer to look as if they want peace, rather than working to achieve it.
  • The "political horizon" Rice sees is a mirage of her own making, an effort that is bound to stall, diminishing American prestige and credibility.

Hamas Wants War- canada.com network

Print Story - canada.com network

Sunday, May 20, 2007

Lebanese Troops Fight Islamists; Dozens Are Slain - New York Times

Lebanese Troops Fight Islamists; Dozens Are Slain - New York Times: "Many residents of Tripoli welcomed the army into town, and onlookers clapped whenever tanks fired shells into the camp, bringing to the surface longstanding tensions between Lebanese and Palestinians."

Friday, May 18, 2007

IMPORTANT COMMENTARY- Hamas Traps Israel between Two Options: War or War of Attrition

Interesting analysis -- it looks like the Summer 2007 war may begin early in Gaza, or Israel will have to yield sovereignty over its southern cities to Kassam rocket fire. (DEBKAfile - Hamas Traps Israel between Two Options: War or War of Attrition) Now the question is whathappens up north" if Israel takes a more active role in Gaza, which it will ultimately be forced to do? What is the status of talks with Syria -- perhaps secretly being undertaken so as not to incur Condaleeza's ire? (most Israelis would prefer to hold such talks, though held back form doing so by the American prohibition on the same). The Summer 2006 war was successful at pushing Hezbullah back off the border with Israel, making it harder for them to provoke conflict with Israel, at least without mixing in the European "peacekeepers".

The Jordanians, embarrassed last week by leaks of its attempt to broker a watered-down version of a Jordanian-Palestinian confederation plan in order to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, regrettably stepped to the sidelines in this quest -- perhaps the only thing that could have empowered the weakling Abbas to defeat Hamas (the thinking is that if, with Arab world support and Abbas' agreement, Jordan floated such a plan and Hamas retaliated, Israel, the Jordanians, the Egyptians and Fatah would have had a much freer hand, both internationally and among the Palestinians themselves, to ruthlessly defeat Hamas once and for all).

The makings of a shit sandwich are coming together if there is not some strong leadership and risk taking on the Arab -- and Western-Israeli sides soon. This is the time for Saudi King Abdullah, perhaps the only Arab "moderate" with any backbone at this point, to break the logjam and get on a plane to Jeusalem to speak to the Knesset. the other western leaders -- Olmert, Mubarek, the King of Jordan, Bush, the newly elected Sarkozy, the changing over British government, etc... are either too damaged or new to do anything here.

Declining Intelligence

Declining Intelligence: "RECENTLY a six-man jihadi cell in New Jersey was arrested while allegedly planning an armed attack on a military base. In California a jury is now deliberating the fate of a naturalized Chinese-American, who the government alleges worked as a spy for China. Per various media reports Russian intelligence activity against the United States and its European allies is back to Cold War levels. You would think that if ever there was a time to focus our intelligence community on clear and present dangers, it would be now.

Think again.

Congress is now debating the merits of turning the intelligence community loose against global warming. There is precedence for this: in 1997 then-director of Central Intelligence Deutch established an 'Environmental Center' in the CIA's analysis directorate. Since climate change is now an official threat (according to the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences), what better time to take resources away from the fight against al Qaeda?"

Negev school hit by rocket - Israel News, Ynetnews

Does the world care that several hundred missiles have been fired by the Palestinians at Israeli civilian population centers in the past 2 weeks?

Negev school hit by rocket - Israel News, Ynetnews

N Korea 'tests new missile in Iran' | International News | News | Telegraph

N Korea 'tests new missile in Iran' | International News | News | Telegraph

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Obama's Auto History -- Fuel Efficiency in Cars and Carbon Emissions- WSJ.com

You may have to get to the end of this article to see where it is going, but basically, it makes the point that car efficiency CAFE standards set by the government don't result in savings of oil or carbon emissions. The one thing that can be expected to reliably reduce both is to place a meaningful carbon tax on oil, that keeps the price of oil high enough to both dissuade usage as well as providing a price floor that encourages competitive alternate fuel technologies to compete with oil. As long as developers of alternate fuels know that the King of Saudi Arabia can make them uncompetitive by conspiring with his buddies to lower fuel prices for a year, it will be difficult to make real progress. The punch line is that neither political party wants to be responsible for the politically unpopular act of enacting such a tax, including the media-be sainted Obama.
Obama's Auto History - WSJ.com

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

DEBKAfile - Olmert Holds Army Back in Face of Imminent Hizballah, Hamas Threats and Buildup

This is an extremely disturbing article.

DEBKAfile - Olmert Holds Army Back in Face of Imminent Hizballah, Hamas Threats and Buildup

"Confirming the generals’ worst fears, Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah laid out a plan Sunday, May 6, for attacking IDF positions on Mts. Hermon and Dov from the Shebaa Farms, and Israel Navy vessels with the new long-range missiles just delivered (smuggled) by Syria, while also turning the militia’s guns on the UN peacekeepers posted in south Lebanon.

The plan was aired in a well-publicized interview broadcast Sunday by Iranian television in Arabic, a clear signal that it was first cleared with his Tehran masters."

Monday, May 07, 2007

Dennis Ross: Israel Should Talk to Syria

Too often the Bush administration has treated "talking" as if it means conceding. But talks are not synonymous with surrender. Rather, they can be a way of exercising leverage. Consider one of the current realities in the Middle East: Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas all refuse to recognize Israel; all suggest that peace need not and should not be made with Israel; all reject a two state solution; and all claim to represent the wave of the future. What does it say about their position and their claims if Syria -- supposedly a part of their nexus -- is opting out and talking to Israel? Doesn't it suggest that, in fact, their position is not so dominant and that everything is not going their way?

Statecraft requires recognizing where one has leverage and where one's adversaries have vulnerabilities. Syria's relationship with Iran and Hezbollah is tactical not strategic. There is no guarantee that by talking, the Israelis -- or the United States -- will suddenly be able to wean Syria away from Iran or Hezbollah. It is entirely possible that neither the Israelis nor the United States can or should pay what Syria wants. But if war is an increasing possibility and if there is tactical benefit in demonstrating that even Syria feels the need to talk to Israel, it is hard to see what is lost by doing so.

Dennis Ross in the New Republic: Talk to Syria

Boomers' Good Life Tied To Better Life for Immigrants - WSJ.com

Boomers' Good Life Tied To Better Life for Immigrants - WSJ.com

Fascinating article, as we all get older and ratio of the retired to workers increase -- and too many of those workers are coming from the children of poor Hispanic immigrants, who need to be better educated and trained if we want to keep from slipping into being a third world country (slim silver lining for our children, I guess). This article reminds us all that our leaders had better focus seriously on several things:

1. Investing in education as if our lives depend upon it, because they will.

2. Preparing for cutbacks in government benefits for the rapidly expanding elderly, because in all but the most optimistic cases, such cuts will be necessary. Allied to this idea is the need to come up with some sort of sensible plan and government policy on health costs and supports for all, not just the elderly (a good start in reducing health cost inflation, of course, would involve taking on the lawyers' medical malpractice lobby and the pharma industry, at the same time).

3. Tweaking immigration policy to promote the immigration of skilled and wealthy individuals, like Canada and so many other countries do (enough with the unwashed and poor immigrants yearning to be free, Ms. Lazarus). Massively increasing the H-1B visa allotment would be a good start at accomplishing this, as well as helping our balance of trade issues by keeping high value-added industries onshore.

Where are the politicians?

The Balkan Front--The Wahhabis Are Up to No Good in Southern Europe

The Balkan Front

Friday, May 04, 2007

Bridge between Egypt and Saudi Arabia gets go-ahead-News-World-Middle East-TimesOnline

Water for drinking and farming is the most underappreciated long term cause of difficulty in any dream of peaceful coexistence among Israel and its Arab neighbors including the Palestinians. This story is about a proposed bridge between Egypt and Saudi Arabia that could cause problems over another type of water, the Gulf of Aqaba, which could pose a strategic threat to Israel's access to the Red Sea through Eilat, as well as the development of both sides of the bridge, with a concomitant threat to the security of all nations in the area. Watch this one -- it could be a sleeper issue....

Bridge over troubled waters gets go-ahead-News-World-Middle East-TimesOnline

Thursday, May 03, 2007

David Makovsky - The Next Mideast War? - washingtonpost.com

Interesting analysis. I will be seeing him next week at the Soref Conference.
David Makovsky - The Next Mideast War? - washingtonpost.com

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Yediot Acharonot: Foreign experts: Syria secretly built 30 underground bunkers to enable rocket attack before IAF can destroy them

Foreign experts: Syria secretly built 30 underground bunkers to enable rocket attack before IAF can destroy them
If true, this is the type of thing that can embolden the Syrians to believe that they can successfully strike Israel in an attempt to bring Israel to the negotiating table on Syria's terms, which Assad needs to maintain some semblance of independence (much like the reasoning for Sadat's attack of Israel to start the Yom Kippur War in '73). If this is not true, all it does is build up the drum beat of insecurity in Israel and threat of a hairfire trigger event that could result in an Israeli-Syrian war this Summer. Add to that the Israeli political crisis (this one is worse than usual with an amoral prime minister bent on political survival at any price), and you have a pretty flammable situation, BEFORE further adding to the mixture Iran, which Israeli analysts increasingly believe is 1-2 years away from their first nuclear bomb.

It's time for some talented statemanship, leadership and a grand bargain, or else...

Guardian | Inside the struggle for Iran

Let's hope our government doesn't screw this opportunity up...

Guardian | Inside the struggle for Iran
"A grand coalition of anti-government forces is planning a second Iranian revolution via the ballot box to deny President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad another term in office and break the grip of what they call the "militia state" on public life and personal freedom.

Encouraged by recent successes in local elections, opposition factions, democracy activists, and pro-reform clerics say they will bring together progressive parties loyal to former president Mohammad Khatami with so-called pragmatic conservatives led by Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani.

The alliance aims to exploit the president's deepening unpopularity, borne of high unemployment, rising inflation and a looming crisis over petrol prices and possible rationing to win control of the Majlis in general elections which are due within 10 months.

Parliament last week voted to curtail Mr Ahmadinejad's term by holding presidential and parliamentary elections simultaneously next year.

Though the move is likely to be vetoed by the hardline Guardian Council, it served notice of mounting disaffection in parliament.

But opposition spokesmen say their broader objective is to bring down the fundamentalist regime by democratic means, transform Iran into a "normal country", and obviate the need for any military or other US and western intervention. Rightwing political and religious forces, divided and dismayed by Mr Ahmadinejad's much-criticised performance, are already mobilising to meet the threat."